We compare the initial prices of Fantasy players with their averages scores from last season to spot potentially undervalued options worth considering at the start of the year.
In exactly two weeks, the 22nd season of the EuroLeague Fantasy Challenge tips off—the fifth with the current gameplay format. Before diving into scouting and our traditional position-by-position breakdown of the best market opportunities (there are still plenty of friendlies and official games ahead), it’s useful to take an early look at this year’s initial player pricing. This gives us a first guide to cases that might be worth considering, possible starting points for shaping our first roster—or at least some benchmarks during everyone’s scouting process.
To do this, we use last season’s Fantasy averages to calculate a value-to-average ratio (credits per ranking point), essentially showing how much one ranking unit “costs” a player—based, of course, on last year’s numbers. This approach may highlight some undervalued players worth keeping an eye on, as well as some overpriced ones to avoid. Since these figures refer to Fantasy, “ranking” here means the player’s Fantasy average (including win bonuses).
Naturally, since we’re working with data from last year, the ratio can only serve as an indicator of potential undervaluation. It should by no means be treated as a flawless criterion for determining whether a player is truly a bargain. Transfers and internal competition also play a huge role in changing a player’s outlook. Some players moved into deeper rosters, making it harder (though not impossible, in the case of names like Shorts, Maledon, and Devin Booker) to replicate last year’s numbers. Others went the opposite way, joining teams with more playing time and space available, which could give them a bigger role in Fantasy (e.g., Moses Wright, Carsen Edwards, Williams-Goss, and several others).
On the other hand, there are the “constants”—players whose environments haven’t changed dramatically. Returning to this group, stars like Vezenkov and James (as well as Real Madrid’s cornerstones), Milan’s forwards LeDay and Shields (without Mirotic this time—who himself remains a top option at Monaco—but with stronger presence at the 5), guards like Punter and Jones, and many others can all essentially be evaluated against their numbers from last season. Whether priced higher or lower than average, many of these “steady” players naturally draw interest, while the list also includes other potential bargains.
Below, we present all players who competed last season, ranked by increasing cost of one ranking unit, based on the criteria mentioned above. The first column shows their initial value this year, the second their average from last season, and the third the calculated cost of one ranking unit (based on last season’s output). The lower the cost, the more undervalued the player is—at least theoretically. Keep in mind, though, that one ranking unit is worth slightly less than one credit, so players starting with a ratio of 1 in the final column are, in theory, slightly overpriced.
The table includes only players who featured in last year’s EuroLeague and Fantasy season. Once again, this should be seen only as an indication of possible opportunities, since some players’ roles will be upgraded this year, while others will be downgraded. In any case, it’s a useful first look to help us get into the rhythm of the new season. A second article on undervalued players will follow, this time comparing players’ prices directly between this year (initial) and last.
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